Pakistan as of now has 140 to 150 atomic warheads and the store is required to increment to 220 to 250 by 2025 if the present pattern keeps, as per a most recent report by authorities monitoring the nation’s nukes. The present gauge of 140 to 150 nuclear weapons surpasses the projection made by the US Defense Intelligence Agency in 1999 that Pakistan would have 60 to 80 warheads by 2020.
“We estimate that the country’s stockpile could more realistically grow to 220 to 250 warheads by 2025, if the current trend continues. If that happens, it would make Pakistan the world’s fifth-largest nuclear weapon state,” Hans M Kristensen, Robert S Norris and Julia Diamond said in the report ‘Pakistani nuclear forces 2018’. Kristensen, the lead author, is the director of the Nuclear Information Project with the Federation of American Scientists (FAS) in Washington, DC.
Pakistan Could Develop As World’s 5th Nuclear Weapons State
Over the previous decade, the US appraisal of nuclear weapons security in Pakistan seems to have changed significantly from certainty to concern, especially because of the presentation of strategic atomic weapons, the report said.
“With several delivery systems in development, four plutonium production reactors, and its uranium enrichment facilities expanding, however, Pakistan has a stockpile that will likely increase further over the next 10 years,” says the report.
Pakistan keeps on extending its atomic armory with more warheads, more conveyance frameworks, and a developing fissile materials creation industry, it said.
“Analysis of a large number of commercial satellite images of Pakistani army garrisons and air force bases shows what appear to be mobile launchers and underground facilities that might be related to nuclear forces,” said the report.
The authors observe that the span of the expansion will rely upon numerous variables. Two key components will be what number of atomic fit launchers Pakistan intends to convey, and how much the Indian atomic weapons store develops.
“Speculation that Pakistan may become the world’s third-largest nuclear weapon state – with a stockpile of some 350 warheads a decade from now – are, we believe, exaggerated, not least because that would require a buildup two to three times faster than the growth rate over the past two decades,” the authors said in a report ‘Pakistani nuclear forces 2018’.
As per the report, Pakistan is adjusting its atomic stance with new short-extend atomic competent weapon frameworks to counter military dangers underneath the strategic level.
“The efforts seek to create a full-spectrum deterrent that is designed not only to respond to nuclear attacks, but also to counter an Indian conventional incursion onto Pakistani territory,” it said.
“This development has created considerable concern in other countries, including the United States, which fears that it lowers the threshold for nuclear use in a military conflict with India,” the report added.